Thursday

Royals improve but still drop 12th straight...

Improvement? Have we lost our mind?

Oh yes, there was most definitely some improvement tonight, and RC has the statistics to back it up. After looking at the last four games, RC's crack team of mathematicians stumbled across what we believe to be an encouraging trend:

DateOpponent's score Royals' Score Differential
August 6

16

1

-15

August 7

11

0

-11

August 9

13

7

-6

August 10

6

1

-5



To the untrained eye, these four games may not seem significant. All were losses, after all, and the only thing that matters is winning. But take a closer look.

What most people -- apparently also including the Royals -- don't seem to realize is that in order to win a baseball game, your team must actually score more runs than the other team. And while the Royals have not been fortunate enough to have this happen to them in the last two weeks, the statistics above clearly show that the Royals are getting closer.


RC has been busy crunching numbers on our gigantic calculator.

Let us explain. Using the complex formula A-B=C, where 'A' is the Royals' score, 'B' is the opponent's score, and 'C' is the run differential, it is easy to see that over the last four games, the Royals are creeping toward a positive run differential and thus, a win. In fact, the improvement has been nothing short of remarkable! In the last three games alone, the Royals have gone from a differential of -15 to -5, which, according to RC's official calculator, is an improvement of roughly 300 percent! At this rate, it cannot be but another day or two before the Royals break back into the win column! It's a matter of simple math.

Now, some may view our research with skepticism, labeling this undeniable trend as nothing but what stat geeks like to call a "statistical outlier," but pay them no mind. They have no idea what they're talking about, buncha jerks.

So anyway, you heard it here first...Get ready for a Royals win!

10 Comments:

At 8/11/2005 9:51 AM, Anonymous Wild said...

Dave,

This losing streak must have pushed you over the edge. I have heard of accentuating the positive, but you are really stretching it. If I take a dump four days in a row and the output is less each day, I never conclude that things are getting better.

 
At 8/11/2005 10:02 AM, Blogger Dave said...

Wild, I hope you didn't miss the joke, which was only thinly veiled in some extremely shoddy analysis.

 
At 8/11/2005 10:54 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dave, I did miss the joke. Now the joke is on me. I thought that this losing streak had caused you to lose your mind. I should have known better.

I will reread the article in the light of which it is meant.

Sorry Dave

 
At 8/11/2005 1:09 PM, Blogger Craig Brown said...

I'm taking this formula with me to Vegas.

Talk about a lead-pipe cinch!

 
At 8/11/2005 1:36 PM, Blogger COroyal said...

I got the joke. Boy if you were pissed @ Rob & Rany's last post, check out their new one. Not much reason to read anymore.

 
At 8/11/2005 1:52 PM, Anonymous Uncle J said...

everyone see jo po's rant today about affeldt? i enjoy his writing, and he tends to make you get excited about the angles he takes. that said, his stance on affeldt is only partially correct. affeldt is a great example of what is currently wrong with our royals. except, it's not just the club's fault! affeldt was built-up early on by having tools to be a star, just like gobble, but now it appears more likely he's an average pitcher, and over-hyped by alot of people, including gammons, espn, et al.

 
At 8/11/2005 3:09 PM, Blogger Dave said...

Craig, when you go to Vegas, just be sure to remember that the key to poker is to get a better hand than anyone else.

CO, even though we no longer link to Rob and Rany, we do occasionally still read them. And yes, the latest rant was incredibly silly. It's funny how even the most renowned stathead among all supposed Royals fans picked a 12 game losing streak to announce his resignation from Royals Nation. He may think he's smarter than everyone else, but he's precisely the same as every other idiot who has vowed in the middle of this losing streak to never care about the Royals again.

The fact is that this team is no worse today than it was when they swept the Yankees. And they were no better during their hot streak than they are now. Intelligent fans can see long streaks for what they are -- unusual runs of good or bad luck.

Yes, bad teams have more bad streaks than others, but if Rob Neyer wasn't willing to jump ship before this 12 game losing streak, then jumping ship now is nothing more than an ignorant overreaction.

Farewell, Rob! Don't let the door hit you in the ass on your way out.

 
At 8/11/2005 3:10 PM, Blogger Dave said...

Uncle J, I haven't seen it, but I'll be sure to check it out when I get home.

 
At 8/11/2005 8:45 PM, Blogger Daniel said...

That's too bad about Neyer, but it doesn't particularly surprise me.

The more the Royals lose, I'm finding, the more proud and fierce I get about my loyalty. Reverse psychology.

Royals fans have one quality that can't be denied: toughness. Mental freaking toughness. Even Cubs fans can't claim this as much recently despite their past losing ways, because the Cubs are fielding competitive teams every year nowadays. They do have hope. Royals fans don't really have much hope.

I'll make a reference to poker, since you mentioned it earlier -- it's like sitting at a table after suffering a couple of suckout bad beats in a row on big pots, then looking everyone at the table. While they're expecting to see defeat and a willingness to go on tilt in your eyes, show them instead mental fortitude and a willingness to stick it out until you win.

Never fails to amaze people, and usually earns you a little respect, even if your team commands none.

I'm going to be sticking and staying. I've done it for 27 years, so I don't know why I'd change now.

 
At 8/12/2005 12:39 AM, Anonymous Brian S. said...

Rob Neyer jumps off the bandwagon every year at this point. I haven't read it yet, but I'm sure I know what it says.

He just is using this streak as an excuse to quit posting on the Royals this year and concentrate on BoSox going into the final pennant run.

As far as this 13 game streak, I think the Royals were just looking forward to the Detroit series. Who can blame them?
This is the pivitol series for the season. Hernandez -vs- Guillen in t-minus 20 hours.

 

Post a Comment

<< Home